jos ei jo ollut ... http://veloclinic.com/estimating-the...tion-of-power/

A repeating theme heard in performance analysis discussions is that “Performance doesn’t prove doping.” Of course this is true because proof, as an absolute, doesn’t really exist. Instead, most real-world evidence driven judgments are based on probability and not “proof.” From this perspective, this post will illustrate the concept of using a mathematical model to estimate the probability of doping as a function of performance.